Tag Archives: automated betting

Weeks ending 19-02-17 (8:30pm)

As previously mentioned I’ve been using my time to code my own trading bot, so this catch-up covers seven weeks by my reckoning. On the dogs the return has been ok at 0.055%. I’m still running on stakes that are not linked to balance but vary within a small  amount. All the dog’s weeks ended positive, just.

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The Aus horses performed better for the period, at 0.084%, but as can be seen from the chart, there was a negative run. This stretched over approximately 10 days. Combined with a low profit for a week from the dogs, this saw the first overall weekly loss for quite some time, ending -£2.62. It does have an emotional impact, even though a small loss, after such a long time seeing the bank’s increased at the end of each Sunday. I did feel like I wanted to change something in the code but I held tight and the P&L returned to a more usual level. This is why I couldn’t trade manually – I’d drift away from the plan after each loss in an endless battle against the now.

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2016 – a brief history (and Week ending 01-01-17)

I’ll start with last week. Dogs were down on number of markets/bets/volume but up again on return. It’s the highest return since July.

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The Aus horses had a good week too. Although return was down slightly, -0.007, the overall trend is good. Last period saw two large losses on the dogs, this time it’s the horses turn. No worries though. Next, on to the annual review.

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Annual review

It’s been a positive year with a profit from most weeks, there were only three weeks ending in an overall loss (across all markets), with one of those due to an error. This year also saw the move to a VPS and then cloud VPS, giving a faster and more consistent connection. I’ve dabbled with my other bots but not taken them live. I tried Oscar over the pond for a while but the US horses were a loss. Slayr was an accident and started out backing, then switched to laying, then back to backing (small number bias and all that). It is still running on Betdaq, an update on that soon, but it doesn’t trade as such, just places a bet based on the prices available. My work on my own trading app stalled but this is going to be my main focus this year. I’ve got Betfair Pro Trader’s new book which is providing inspiration and ideas. I’ve also made myself a plan which I hope will prevent me getting easily distracted and bouncing between one idea and another.

High and low

This years high has to be the brilliantly consistent(ish) profits returned by Oscar. Regardless of actual amounts, the same trading algorithm has performed for the year without many code changes, most of which were not to do with triggers or execution.

The low was the crash of Thursday 26th May at approximately 20:42 which resulted in a loss of £59.40. It set my bank back by around 5 weeks. And it hurt. But, on-wards and upwards as they say.

The year in numbers

The charts I show on the blog include some amounts for the period. The figures for the period 4th January 2016 to 1st January 2017 are as follows –

Number of markets traded = 26775

Number of bets settled = 197158

Traded volume = £1039959.93

P&L = £717.25

PL/TV = 0.069%

Traded volume is probably an incorrect term as it’s taken from finance but never mind. It’s my way of measuring and is simply the total of the amounts going in and out of my account, ie money I’ve traded with other bettors.

The blog

I’ve enjoyed doing the blog. It’s useful for me to be able to look back at what I’ve been doing. I also hope it provides some sort of information/ideas/entertainment/wonder to others. My page views have gone up over the year, mainly with links from Twitter, Betfair Pro Trader and Green All Over. I seem to get views from all across the world – 60% are from the UK but I’ve had hits (according to WP stats) from the following countries Australia, Sweden, Ireland, Portugal, Denmark, Czech Republic, Switzerland, Netherlands, Spain, France, United States, Norway, Italy, Greece, Germany, Slovakia, Brazil, Slovenia, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Russia, Hong Kong SAR China, New Zealand, Cyprus, Mexico, Bulgaria, Argentina, South Africa, Latvia, Finland, India, Turkey, Ukraine, Namibia, Malta, Peru, Austria, Malaysia, Serbia, Lithuania, Taiwan, Macedonia, Columbia, Canada, Croatia, Tunisia, Luxembourg, European Union (What? A country? Yes, according to wordpress), Philippines, Chile, Georgia, Belgium, Nigeria, Isle of Man, Singapore, Mauritius, Yemen, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Thailand, South Korea, Tanzania, Israel, Iceland, Azerbaijan and, last but by no means least, Zimbabwe.

The future

With a certainty that is unknown in the betting/trading/gambling world, the future is definitely coming. As for what or when I do anything, I don’t want to make any promises. I do intend to become a more proficient VB programmer and a better bot trader, in that order.

Happy New Year!

Week ending 25-12-16

One week. A good end to the week. Monday/Tuesday were flat but the rest of the week ran at an increased pace returning a very good 0.107%. The two large losses, 2.24 and 2.26, were both in average markets, no low matched volumes or out of the ordinary movements that I can see. With one and a half days less markets this period, there was only 4 less markets traded and 9 less settled bets than the previous week. This may be down to more participants as people were finishing for the holidays.

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A similar feature to the Aus chart as on the dogs – Mon/Tues flat – but here the increased profit curve runs through Weds/Thurs/Fri, then flattens off for the Christmas Eve markets. It’s still the best return for a period on the Aus horses since the end of September. Look forward to putting the years trading results in the first Annual Review.

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Weeks ending 18-12-16

One week period, I’m overdoing it. The UK dogs have picked up though markets/bets/volume are down, the return is increased. Still, my bot is continuing in profit, steady but consistent profit.

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Aus markets have taken a severe turn for the worse with six notable losses. Unsurprisingly, the stake this week has been around the £10 mark. Looking back over some previous charts, it’s safe to say that the Aus horses are less consistent than the UK ones but, I have noticed, a stake between £8 and £9.7 coincides with better, smother charts. I’ll reduce again and observe. One issue on my mind is the time of year and the possibility of getting unusual results from changes in market activity; just a thought.

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Weeks ending 11-12-16

A massive 4 week period. An overall UK dogs chart similar to the last period but a closer look reveals return is down from 0.1% to 0.058%. I guess this is a result of the stake increasing as it’s linked to balance. This has meant a P&L value over 4 weeks that’s close to the previous 3 week period. I’ve done very little with Oscar this past month, some code cleaning and a little change to archiving but no changes to market monitoring or execution.

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On the Aus markets, they gave an increased return, up 0.032 to 0.089%. The change in rate of rise on the graph at around the 320 point coincides with the stake pushing past £9. I can’t see why this would have any impact. It was a Friday, late November. Ooh, Black Friday. Maybe a bit of overspend took some players out of the market? Maybe not. Unless overspending botters only trade Aus horses and not UK dogs. Here’s an unconfirmed  fact: one Australian term for dogs is “dish lickers”. I think it’s fun and actually descriptively correct. That said, keep on botting and just in case some time passes, merry Winter celebrations.

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Slayr November 2016

Well, inevitably, as Slayr continues to make steady profit I’ll keep posting results. Here’s November output. It’s at times like this that you wish you had bigger stakes on with two profitable months. I’m still not convinced it’s a long term winner, juggling it in my mind, risky with charts like this, but I’m only on for fractions, market capacity is there for loads more, even on Betdaq. That’s decided then, I’ll up stakes and not get involved if there’s a bit of a down move, leave it to play December.

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Weeks ending 13-11-16

I’ve just had a nice week away with the family. With starting the new job, it’s the first time in years that I could just relax and not worry about work. Also, now the bots are on the VPS they carried on without any input from me.

Three week period. Another good chart from the UK dogs. This is a continuation of the trend seen since dropping the stakes, where a steady increase is accompanied with low variance.

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The Aus horses have returned similar to the first two thirds of the previous period (the drop at the end is over the weekend and doesn’t cause me any concern on its own). The last week of the that period saw a flat return which I had guessed as being related to a stake of roughly £10. Although not conclusive, it is suggesting I may be on to something.

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Slayr continues

Slayr is continuing and has been backing at low stakes since mid September. I haven’t really paid much attention to it, the data collected is not as illuminating as I’d hoped. Below is the chart for October. It finishes OK but the large ups and downs are not what I want to see from any strategy, it could so easily have ended at a loss.

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The following two charts are modified from my results to show the outcome if I had been backing all along. They don’t account for the spread so the losses would be greater in reality.

With a new stoploss set, the bot will continue to run. I’m not sure how long for as I intend reviewing my whole setup in an attempt to set clear goals.

Edit: I know the name is derived from the fact it was a laying bot and now it’s backing. I’m not changing the name.

Weeks ending 23-10-16

Three week period. The first week on the UK dogs saw a lot of variance, ending about even. This was at the higher stake level, approx £10. From the second week the stake was returned to a level from mid August, about £4. The result is 2 weeks of improved consistency.

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Aus horses returned two good weeks of return, the third being reduced. I did adjust the stake going into week 3, reducing by about 20% but that put it near to £10 which I don’t particularly like as it can look obvious to others. I’ve now reduced it again, we’ll see what happens.

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A quick note on my other bots – Slayr is still running but is returning about even, I’ve left it running as it’s getting me some data from Betdaq. The other bots are all paused for development.